Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.068328 0.076892 0.085682 0.095347 0.105648 0.116271 0.128027
2025-05-18 0.055115 0.067965 0.081846 0.097816 0.115551 0.134518 0.156218
2025-05-25 0.046174 0.061593 0.078973 0.099692 0.123419 0.149468 0.179961
2025-06-01 0.037409 0.053970 0.073423 0.097388 0.125590 0.157253 0.195031
2025-06-08 0.030602 0.047714 0.068628 0.095183 0.127194 0.163832 0.208252
2025-06-15 0.027163 0.045188 0.067939 0.097513 0.133822 0.175973 0.227674
2025-06-22 0.023820 0.042356 0.066521 0.098657 0.138798 0.186013 0.244540
2025-06-29 0.022133 0.041559 0.067545 0.102720 0.147233 0.200104 0.266154
2025-07-06 0.019444 0.039026 0.066044 0.103372 0.151316 0.208889 0.281432
2025-07-13 0.019516 0.040531 0.069981 0.111080 0.164247 0.228428 0.309623
2025-07-20 0.016423 0.036894 0.066601 0.108985 0.164665 0.232630 0.319350
2025-07-27 0.015250 0.036139 0.067166 0.112066 0.171630 0.244840 0.338749
2025-08-03 0.012887 0.033297 0.064745 0.111256 0.173866 0.251613 0.352116
2025-08-10 0.011638 0.032230 0.064876 0.113959 0.180752 0.264316 0.372943
2025-08-17 0.010373 0.030960 0.064594 0.116016 0.186756 0.275918 0.392460
2025-08-24 0.008310 0.027844 0.061218 0.113488 0.186504 0.279486 0.401943
2025-08-31 0.006575 0.025021 0.058055 0.111066 0.186237 0.282923 0.411181
2025-09-07 0.005910 0.024351 0.058327 0.113625 0.192712 0.295006 0.431253
2025-09-14 0.005115 0.023237 0.057764 0.114881 0.197367 0.304732 0.448378
2025-09-21 0.004861 0.023374 0.059324 0.119334 0.206461 0.320254 0.472870
2025-09-28 0.004130 0.022167 0.058461 0.120049 0.210325 0.328955 0.488748
2025-10-05 0.004434 0.023749 0.062590 0.128481 0.225049 0.351932 0.522827
2025-10-12 0.003436 0.021561 0.059834 0.126191 0.224658 0.355057 0.531658